Will President Yoweri Museveni announce a Ugandan Cabinet reshuffle by June 18, 2026?

Market Outcomes
Yes
POLITICS Market
50.00%
Chance
No
POLITICS Market
50.00%
Chance
Market Context & Rules
Market Context: Speculation is mounting regarding potential changes to the Ugandan Cabinet. Cabinet reshuffles are a key indicator of shifting political dynamics and priorities. This market resolves to "Yes" if an official announcement of a cabinet reshuffle involving at least one ministerial change is made by President Museveni or his official spokespersons on or before June 18, 2026, 11:59 PM EAT. Rules & Oracle: Oracle: The official State House Uganda communication channels (verified X account @StateHouseUg, official website, or a verified press release corroborated by major national news outlets like Daily Monitor or New Vision). Resolution Rules: If a minister resigns, is fired, or is reassigned to a different portfolio, it counts as a reshuffle. If absolutely no changes to the cabinet are announced by the deadline, the market resolves to "No".
